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Will bookmakers' revenues in Russia fall by more than 20% by the end of 2026?

Volume~$196
Business
YES chance
DescriptionThe Unified Gambling Regulator (UGR) predicts a drastic decline in industry metrics if restrictions on indebted players are adopted. According to experts, “cutting off” problem borrowers will deprive bookmakers of up to 40% of their active customer base. Even with lobbying efforts to postpone the deadline until the fall, the market has already begun to factor in the risk of declining revenue. The question is whether the official reports from ERAI or the Federal Tax Service will confirm a real decline in total gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the full year 2026 of more than 20% compared to last year.
ConditionsYes: if, at the end of 2026, the total gross gaming revenue (GGR) of licensed bookmakers in the Russian Federation declines by ≥ 20% compared to 2025 figures. No: if the decline in revenue is < 20% or the industry shows growth.
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Timeline
OpenedMar 20, 2026, 5:48 PM
Closes
May 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsApr 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 20, 2026, 5:48 PM
Closes
May 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsApr 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang
26 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore
19 BPCX
3
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
10 BPCX
4
MotileGiro
MotileGiro
7 BPCX
5
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis
4 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge
27 BPCX
2
wEEd
wEEd
26 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock
21 BPCX
4
MMTrader
MMTrader
17 BPCX
5
buba
buba
14 BPCX
Event results
No results yet
Awaiting summarization

Will bookmakers' revenues in Russia fall by more than 20% by the end of 2026?

Volume~$196
Business
DescriptionThe Unified Gambling Regulator (UGR) predicts a drastic decline in industry metrics if restrictions on indebted players are adopted. According to experts, “cutting off” problem borrowers will deprive bookmakers of up to 40% of their active customer base. Even with lobbying efforts to postpone the deadline until the fall, the market has already begun to factor in the risk of declining revenue. The question is whether the official reports from ERAI or the Federal Tax Service will confirm a real decline in total gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the full year 2026 of more than 20% compared to last year.
ConditionsYes: if, at the end of 2026, the total gross gaming revenue (GGR) of licensed bookmakers in the Russian Federation declines by ≥ 20% compared to 2025 figures. No: if the decline in revenue is < 20% or the industry shows growth.
Verification source
Event results
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