Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the Bank of Canada keep its key interest rate at 2.25%?
Volume~$30
YES chance
DescriptionPositive hiring trends and a rise in average hourly wages in Canada to 3.7% have dampened expectations of an immediate easing of monetary policy. The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) next interest rate meeting is scheduled for July 15, 2026. Major investment institutions and money markets estimate the probability of the current monetary policy parameters remaining unchanged at more than 90%. The market is awaiting the regulator’s official decision on the interest rate.
ConditionsYes: if, following the Bank of Canada’s meeting on July 15, 2026, the key interest rate remains exactly at its current level of 2.25%.No: if the Bank of Canada changes the rate (raises or lowers it) at its meeting on July 15, 2026.
Timeline
OpenedJul 10, 2026, 7:29 PM
Closes
Jul 14, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 10, 2026, 7:29 PM
Closes
Jul 14, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
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ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur30 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the Bank of Canada keep its key interest rate at 2.25%?
Volume~$30
DescriptionPositive hiring trends and a rise in average hourly wages in Canada to 3.7% have dampened expectations of an immediate easing of monetary policy. The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) next interest rate meeting is scheduled for July 15, 2026. Major investment institutions and money markets estimate the probability of the current monetary policy parameters remaining unchanged at more than 90%. The market is awaiting the regulator’s official decision on the interest rate.
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