Awaiting summarization
Will Trump mention gay people in Iran again?
Volume~$313
YES chance
DescriptionOn March 26–27, 2026, Trump stated in an interview with Fox News that the CIA had allegedly informed him that Mojtaba Khamenei was gay. He added that “many people are talking about this,” and that it puts Iran’s leader in a “bad position” domestically. This rhetoric has become part of his strategy to delegitimize the Iranian regime in the eyes of the international community. Given that Trump continues to bring up this topic in his speeches (most recently on April 7), it is highly likely that new comments of this nature will emerge during the ongoing negotiations on the deal.
ConditionsYes: if, by May 31, 2026, (inclusive), Donald Trump mentions the topic of the sexual orientation of Iran’s leadership or the persecution of gay people in that country once again in an official speech, interview, or on social media (Truth Social, X).
No: if, by the specified date, Trump does not make any new public statements on this topic.
Timeline
OpenedApr 7, 2026, 10:13 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 7, 2026, 10:13 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits30 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge30 BPCX
3
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur28 BPCX
4
ton_explore
ton_explore26 BPCX
5
wEEd
wEEd16 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt44 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI129 BPCX
3
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis26 BPCX
4
FirmGang
FirmGang21 BPCX
5
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux20 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will Trump mention gay people in Iran again?
Volume~$313
DescriptionOn March 26–27, 2026, Trump stated in an interview with Fox News that the CIA had allegedly informed him that Mojtaba Khamenei was gay. He added that “many people are talking about this,” and that it puts Iran’s leader in a “bad position” domestically. This rhetoric has become part of his strategy to delegitimize the Iranian regime in the eyes of the international community. Given that Trump continues to bring up this topic in his speeches (most recently on April 7), it is highly likely that new comments of this nature will emerge during the ongoing negotiations on the deal.
ConditionsYes: if, by May 31, 2026, (inclusive), Donald Trump mentions the topic of the sexual orientation of Iran’s leadership or the persecution of gay people in that country once again in an official speech, interview, or on social media (Truth Social, X).
No: if, by the specified date, Trump does not make any new public statements on this topic.
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