Awaiting summarization
Will direct evidence of "extraterrestrial intelligence" emerge from the Pentagon's archives by fall?
Volume~$156
YES chance
DescriptionFollowing the release of the first batch of archives on May 8, 2026, the Pentagon promised to release new batches of documents every few weeks. Defense Secretary Pete Hegset stated that the goal of the initiative is to give Americans the opportunity to “decide for themselves” what lies behind these phenomena. At this point, the objects are classified as “unidentified aerial phenomena” (UAP), but not as “extraterrestrial technology.” It remains to be seen whether the official terminology will change in the new batches before the end of summer.
ConditionsYes: if any of the subsequent batches of declassified documents published before August 31, 2026, contain a direct conclusion by experts from the Pentagon, NASA, or intelligence agencies that the object is of artificial extraterrestrial origin (not created by humans).No: if, by August 31, 2026, all published objects remain classified as “unidentified,” “natural phenomena,” or “probable terrestrial technologies” (drones, satellites, etc.).
Timeline
OpenedMay 9, 2026, 12:22 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 9, 2026, 12:22 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
ton_explore
ton_explore24 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI123 BPCX
3
BlitheWits
BlitheWits14 BPCX
4
wEEd
wEEd7 BPCX
5
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock5 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
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Vol.
1
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis25 BPCX
2
MMTrader
MMTrader22 BPCX
3
BTC_BOSS
BTC_BOSS20 BPCX
4
FirmGang
FirmGang15 BPCX
5
GlossyNahum
GlossyNahum1 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will direct evidence of "extraterrestrial intelligence" emerge from the Pentagon's archives by fall?
Volume~$156
DescriptionFollowing the release of the first batch of archives on May 8, 2026, the Pentagon promised to release new batches of documents every few weeks. Defense Secretary Pete Hegset stated that the goal of the initiative is to give Americans the opportunity to “decide for themselves” what lies behind these phenomena. At this point, the objects are classified as “unidentified aerial phenomena” (UAP), but not as “extraterrestrial technology.” It remains to be seen whether the official terminology will change in the new batches before the end of summer.
ConditionsYes: if any of the subsequent batches of declassified documents published before August 31, 2026, contain a direct conclusion by experts from the Pentagon, NASA, or intelligence agencies that the object is of artificial extraterrestrial origin (not created by humans).No: if, by August 31, 2026, all published objects remain classified as “unidentified,” “natural phenomena,” or “probable terrestrial technologies” (drones, satellites, etc.).
Event results
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