Event
Event
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Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Will Spain's annual inflation rate exceed 3.3% by the end of June?

Volume~$57
Political
Business
Economics
YES chance
DescriptionAccording to FocusEconomics and estimates by BBVA analysts, the energy sector’s contribution to inflation in Spain will rise significantly in June due to the mechanical effect of the partial repeal of tax breaks on electricity and natural gas. In May, the annual CPI remained at 3.2%. The key question is whether Spain’s National Institute of Statistics (INE) will report, in its preliminary report on June 29, that the year-over-year growth in consumer prices has accelerated to just above 3.3%.
ConditionsYes: if, in the INE’s preliminary report for June (published on June 29, 2026), Spain’s annual consumer price index (CPI YoY) is strictly ≥ 3.4%.No: if, in the INE’s preliminary report for June, the annual Consumer Price Index in Spain is ≤ 3.3%.
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedJun 24, 2026, 8:04 AM
Closes
Jun 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJun 30, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 24, 2026, 8:04 AM
Closes
Jun 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJun 30, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
ton_explore
ton_explore
24 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis
17 BPCX
3
FirmGang
FirmGang
14 BPCX
4
SuperNancy
SuperNancy
1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
GlossyNahum
GlossyNahum
1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
GlossyNahum+48.6 BPCX
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Will Spain's annual inflation rate exceed 3.3% by the end of June?

Volume~$57
Political
Business
Economics
DescriptionAccording to FocusEconomics and estimates by BBVA analysts, the energy sector’s contribution to inflation in Spain will rise significantly in June due to the mechanical effect of the partial repeal of tax breaks on electricity and natural gas. In May, the annual CPI remained at 3.2%. The key question is whether Spain’s National Institute of Statistics (INE) will report, in its preliminary report on June 29, that the year-over-year growth in consumer prices has accelerated to just above 3.3%.
ConditionsYes: if, in the INE’s preliminary report for June (published on June 29, 2026), Spain’s annual consumer price index (CPI YoY) is strictly ≥ 3.4%.No: if, in the INE’s preliminary report for June, the annual Consumer Price Index in Spain is ≤ 3.3%.
Verification source
Event resultsView all
GlossyNahum+48.6 BPCX
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX