Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Currency Panic: Will the Euro Rise Above 95 Rubles by Mid-July?
Volume~$27
YES chance
DescriptionThe Russian currency market is in turmoil again: the euro has surged sharply and is now aiming to break through the 90-ruble mark. Behind the scenes at investment banks, there is talk that if the Central Bank does not cool the market with hawkish rhetoric at its next meeting, and exporters continue to hold onto their revenue, the ruble is in for a full-blown wave of devaluation. For retail investors and travelers, the 95-ruble-per-euro level will be the point of no return and a signal for a mass flight from the ruble. The key question is whether the Central Bank’s official euro exchange rate will break through this critical threshold at the peak of July’s deficit.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 10 and July 20, 2026, the official euro (EUR) exchange rate set by the Bank of Russia reaches ≥ 95.00 rubles at least once.
No: if, between July 10 and July 20, 2026, the official euro exchange rate set by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation remains consistently below 95.00 rubles.
Timeline
OpenedJun 26, 2026, 4:57 PM
Closes
Jul 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 26, 2026, 4:57 PM
Closes
Jul 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge21 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI16 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Currency Panic: Will the Euro Rise Above 95 Rubles by Mid-July?
Volume~$27
DescriptionThe Russian currency market is in turmoil again: the euro has surged sharply and is now aiming to break through the 90-ruble mark. Behind the scenes at investment banks, there is talk that if the Central Bank does not cool the market with hawkish rhetoric at its next meeting, and exporters continue to hold onto their revenue, the ruble is in for a full-blown wave of devaluation. For retail investors and travelers, the 95-ruble-per-euro level will be the point of no return and a signal for a mass flight from the ruble. The key question is whether the Central Bank’s official euro exchange rate will break through this critical threshold at the peak of July’s deficit.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 10 and July 20, 2026, the official euro (EUR) exchange rate set by the Bank of Russia reaches ≥ 95.00 rubles at least once.
No: if, between July 10 and July 20, 2026, the official euro exchange rate set by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation remains consistently below 95.00 rubles.
Event resultsView all
heySI1
boughtNoon a 6 BPCX