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Will Malaysia raise the mandatory palm oil content in biodiesel to 30% by the end of the year?
Volume~$11
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIndonesia has made a revolutionary breakthrough in the energy sector: President Prabowo Subianto officially announced the launch of B50 fuel, which contains 50 percent palm oil-based biofuel [INDEX, INDEX]. This radical move by its neighbor has intensified competitive pressure on Malaysia—the world’s second-largest palm oil producer [INDEX]. A fierce debate is underway in the CIS and Asian energy markets: will Kuala Lumpur decide to respond in kind and urgently raise its own mandatory standard (currently B20) to B30 by the end of December?
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from August 1 to December 31, 2026, the Malaysian Ministry of Plantations and Commodities or the Malaysian government officially publishes a regulatory act introducing a mandatory national B30 biodiesel standard (with a 30 percent palm oil content).
No: if, during the period from August 1 to December 31, 2026, no official decisions are made to increase the mandatory biofuel blend level in Malaysia to B30 or higher.
Timeline
OpenedJul 9, 2026, 9:13 PM
Closes
Jul 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 2, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 9, 2026, 9:13 PM
Closes
Jul 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 2, 2027, 8:59 PM
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MotileGiro
MotileGiro11 BPCX
Active
Will Malaysia raise the mandatory palm oil content in biodiesel to 30% by the end of the year?
Volume~$11
DescriptionIndonesia has made a revolutionary breakthrough in the energy sector: President Prabowo Subianto officially announced the launch of B50 fuel, which contains 50 percent palm oil-based biofuel [INDEX, INDEX]. This radical move by its neighbor has intensified competitive pressure on Malaysia—the world’s second-largest palm oil producer [INDEX]. A fierce debate is underway in the CIS and Asian energy markets: will Kuala Lumpur decide to respond in kind and urgently raise its own mandatory standard (currently B20) to B30 by the end of December?
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from August 1 to December 31, 2026, the Malaysian Ministry of Plantations and Commodities or the Malaysian government officially publishes a regulatory act introducing a mandatory national B30 biodiesel standard (with a 30 percent palm oil content).
No: if, during the period from August 1 to December 31, 2026, no official decisions are made to increase the mandatory biofuel blend level in Malaysia to B30 or higher.