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Will the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day* gross more than $1.5 billion at the global box office?

Volume~$226
Culture
YES chance
DescriptionThe release of the first trailer for the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day" confirmed a radical shift in the franchise's tone: viewers can expect a dark atmosphere and the story of a grown-up Peter Parker living in complete isolation following the events of "No Way Home." Given the trailer’s record-breaking view count and Tom Holland’s return to the role, analysts are predicting massive commercial success. The premiere is scheduled for July 31, 2026 (July 30 in the CIS), placing the film at the heart of the summer blockbuster season. The big question is whether this new chapter in Spider-Man’s adventures will surpass the $1.5 billion mark in worldwide box office revenue.
ConditionsYes: if the total worldwide box office gross for the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day*, according to industry sources (Box Office Mojo, etc.), is ≥ $1.5 billion. No: if the film’s total worldwide box office gross is < $1.5 billion.
Timeline
OpenedMar 20, 2026, 5:38 PM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
EndsDec 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 20, 2026, 5:38 PM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
EndsDec 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock
29 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis
28 BPCX
3
MotileGiro
MotileGiro
23 BPCX
4
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt
14 BPCX
5
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
10 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
buba
buba
27 BPCX
2
FirmGang
FirmGang
21 BPCX
3
BlitheWits
BlitheWits
20 BPCX
4
heySI1
heySI1
19 BPCX
5
ton_explore
ton_explore
9 BPCX
Event results
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Awaiting summarization

Will the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day* gross more than $1.5 billion at the global box office?

Volume~$226
Culture
DescriptionThe release of the first trailer for the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day" confirmed a radical shift in the franchise's tone: viewers can expect a dark atmosphere and the story of a grown-up Peter Parker living in complete isolation following the events of "No Way Home." Given the trailer’s record-breaking view count and Tom Holland’s return to the role, analysts are predicting massive commercial success. The premiere is scheduled for July 31, 2026 (July 30 in the CIS), placing the film at the heart of the summer blockbuster season. The big question is whether this new chapter in Spider-Man’s adventures will surpass the $1.5 billion mark in worldwide box office revenue.
ConditionsYes: if the total worldwide box office gross for the movie *Spider-Man: A New Day*, according to industry sources (Box Office Mojo, etc.), is ≥ $1.5 billion. No: if the film’s total worldwide box office gross is < $1.5 billion.
Event results
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