Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the Nasdaq 100 index fall below 18,500 points due to the bursting of the AI bubble by mid-July?
Volume~$34
YES chance
DescriptionAnalysts at Goldman Sachs and State Street are comparing the current hype surrounding artificial intelligence to the dot-com bubble of 2000. If the tech giants’ earnings reports disappoint Wall Street, a massive sell-off will begin in the market. The bet is on whether investor panic will cause the Nasdaq 100 index to fall below the strong psychological support level of 18,500 points during July.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the Nasdaq 100 Index closes at or below 18,500.00 points at least once during U.S. trading hours.No: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the Nasdaq 100 index is always strictly > 18,500.00 points at the close.
Timeline
OpenedJun 24, 2026, 8:13 AM
Closes
Jul 8, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 24, 2026, 8:13 AM
Closes
Jul 8, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MMTrader
MMTrader17 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux10 BPCX
2
FirmGang
FirmGang7 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the Nasdaq 100 index fall below 18,500 points due to the bursting of the AI bubble by mid-July?
Volume~$34
DescriptionAnalysts at Goldman Sachs and State Street are comparing the current hype surrounding artificial intelligence to the dot-com bubble of 2000. If the tech giants’ earnings reports disappoint Wall Street, a massive sell-off will begin in the market. The bet is on whether investor panic will cause the Nasdaq 100 index to fall below the strong psychological support level of 18,500 points during July.
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
FirmGang
boughtNoon a 7 BPCX