Event
Event
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Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Will Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (HSI) fall below 17,200 points by mid-July?

Volume~$131
Business
Stock market
Economics
YES chance
DescriptionCiti analysts are observing a dangerous divide in China: a powerful AI-driven tech supercycle is masking deep stagflation and a decline in consumer demand caused by the collapse of the real estate market. As of June 20, 2026, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is hovering around 17,910 points. The key question is whether capital outflows from Asian offshore stocks will lead to a break below a strong psychological support level during July trading.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) closes at or below 17,200.00 points at least once.No: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the HSI is always strictly > 17,200.00 points at the close.
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedJun 20, 2026, 6:57 PM
Closes
Jul 14, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 20, 2026, 6:57 PM
Closes
Jul 14, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang
25 BPCX
2
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt
15 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI1
22 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge
18 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock
18 BPCX
4
MotileGiro
MotileGiro
18 BPCX
5
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
14 BPCX
Event resultsView all
heySI1+30.22 BPCX
boughtNoon a 22 BPCX
joS_edge+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
InsaneHammock+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
MotileGiro+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
ConicMalraux+19.23 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
GlossyNahum+1.37 BPCX
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Will Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (HSI) fall below 17,200 points by mid-July?

Volume~$131
Business
Stock market
Economics
DescriptionCiti analysts are observing a dangerous divide in China: a powerful AI-driven tech supercycle is masking deep stagflation and a decline in consumer demand caused by the collapse of the real estate market. As of June 20, 2026, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is hovering around 17,910 points. The key question is whether capital outflows from Asian offshore stocks will lead to a break below a strong psychological support level during July trading.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) closes at or below 17,200.00 points at least once.No: if, during the period from July 15 to July 20, 2026, the HSI is always strictly > 17,200.00 points at the close.
Verification source
Event resultsView all
heySI1+30.22 BPCX
boughtNoon a 22 BPCX
joS_edge+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
InsaneHammock+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
MotileGiro+24.73 BPCX
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
ConicMalraux+19.23 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
GlossyNahum+1.37 BPCX
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX