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Will the IKI RAS detect a new Class X solar flare by July 28?

Volume~$148
Science
Climate
Other
YES chance
DescriptionA solar flare of the highest class, X1.1, has been recorded on the Sun, caused by an unusually large sunspot group, No. 4478. Scientists at the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences warn that this active region continues to grow rapidly and that the Sun’s “guns” are now pointed directly at Earth. Against the backdrop of the current peak of the 25th solar cycle, the accumulated energy could be released in the form of a series of even more powerful eruptions. This bet challenges you to predict whether the sun’s activity will reach the highest X-class intensity again in the second half of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, the Solar Astronomy Laboratory at the Institute of Space Research (IKI) of the Russian Academy of Sciences officially records at least one solar flare of the highest energy class (Class X of any intensity from X1 and above) on the Sun.No:
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 4:43 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 4:43 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Voted for YES
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MMTrader
MMTrader
27 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur
23 BPCX
3
buba
buba
14 BPCX
4
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
10 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
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1
ton_explore
ton_explore
55 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI1
19 BPCX
Event results
No results yet
Awaiting summarization

Will the IKI RAS detect a new Class X solar flare by July 28?

Volume~$148
Science
Climate
Other
DescriptionA solar flare of the highest class, X1.1, has been recorded on the Sun, caused by an unusually large sunspot group, No. 4478. Scientists at the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences warn that this active region continues to grow rapidly and that the Sun’s “guns” are now pointed directly at Earth. Against the backdrop of the current peak of the 25th solar cycle, the accumulated energy could be released in the form of a series of even more powerful eruptions. This bet challenges you to predict whether the sun’s activity will reach the highest X-class intensity again in the second half of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, the Solar Astronomy Laboratory at the Institute of Space Research (IKI) of the Russian Academy of Sciences officially records at least one solar flare of the highest energy class (Class X of any intensity from X1 and above) on the Sun.No:
Verification source
Event results
No results yet