Awaiting summarization
Will a bill to repeal birthright citizenship be introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by July 28?
Volume~$34
YES chance
DescriptionImmediately after his crushing defeat in the Supreme Court, Donald Trump publicly called on Congress to immediately begin work on legislation to change the rules for issuing passports. Trump claims that repealing birthright citizenship does not require a complex constitutional amendment process and can be achieved through ordinary federal legislation. House Speaker Mike Johnson has endorsed this position. This bet asks you to predict whether Republican lawmakers will decide to formally introduce a bill on this matter in the second half of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, a bill is introduced in the official database of the U.S. Congress by members of the House of Representatives proposing to restrict or repeal the automatic granting of U.S. citizenship by birthright (jus soli).No: if no such new bills are introduced for consideration by the House of Representatives by July 28, 2026.
Timeline
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 5:39 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 5:39 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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joS_edge
joS_edge17 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur17 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will a bill to repeal birthright citizenship be introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by July 28?
Volume~$34
DescriptionImmediately after his crushing defeat in the Supreme Court, Donald Trump publicly called on Congress to immediately begin work on legislation to change the rules for issuing passports. Trump claims that repealing birthright citizenship does not require a complex constitutional amendment process and can be achieved through ordinary federal legislation. House Speaker Mike Johnson has endorsed this position. This bet asks you to predict whether Republican lawmakers will decide to formally introduce a bill on this matter in the second half of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, a bill is introduced in the official database of the U.S. Congress by members of the House of Representatives proposing to restrict or repeal the automatic granting of U.S. citizenship by birthright (jus soli).No: if no such new bills are introduced for consideration by the House of Representatives by July 28, 2026.
Event results
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