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Will Bitcoin (BTC) break through $150,000 by fall?

Volume~$78
Crypto
YES chance
DescriptionAs of May 11, 2026, Bitcoin has rebounded above $80,000, its highest level since the start of the year. Optimists at Standard Chartered and Bernstein are maintaining their $150,000 forecast for 2026, attributing this to institutional inflows into ETFs and the effect of the 2024 halving. However, prediction markets (such as Polymarket) estimates the probability of such a sharp surge by September as low (around 21%). Will the leading cryptocurrency be able to stage a “vertical” rally and break through the psychological barrier of 150k by September 1?
ConditionsYes: if, between June 1 and August 31, 2026, the BTC/USD exchange rate on CoinGecko reaches ≥ $150,000.00 at least once. No: if, between May 11 and August 31, 2026, the BTC/USD exchange rate remains below $150,000.00 at all times.
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedMay 10, 2026, 9:33 PM
Closes
May 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsSep 2, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 10, 2026, 9:33 PM
Closes
May 31, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsSep 2, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang
30 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge
18 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur
17 BPCX
3
BlitheWits
BlitheWits
7 BPCX
4
BTC_BOSS
BTC_BOSS
4 BPCX
5
GlossyNahum
GlossyNahum
1 BPCX
Event results
No results yet
Awaiting summarization

Will Bitcoin (BTC) break through $150,000 by fall?

Volume~$78
Crypto
DescriptionAs of May 11, 2026, Bitcoin has rebounded above $80,000, its highest level since the start of the year. Optimists at Standard Chartered and Bernstein are maintaining their $150,000 forecast for 2026, attributing this to institutional inflows into ETFs and the effect of the 2024 halving. However, prediction markets (such as Polymarket) estimates the probability of such a sharp surge by September as low (around 21%). Will the leading cryptocurrency be able to stage a “vertical” rally and break through the psychological barrier of 150k by September 1?
ConditionsYes: if, between June 1 and August 31, 2026, the BTC/USD exchange rate on CoinGecko reaches ≥ $150,000.00 at least once. No: if, between May 11 and August 31, 2026, the BTC/USD exchange rate remains below $150,000.00 at all times.
Verification source
Event results
No results yet