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Will Rosstat publish a report on the widening gender pay gap in Russia by the end of 2026?
Volume~$194
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionA study by the Higher School of Economics (HSE) has clearly highlighted the existence of a “motherhood penalty,” which widens the overall gender pay gap in Russia. Against the backdrop of a severe labor shortage in the second half of 2026, the Ministry of Labor and Rosstat are compiling detailed annual statistics on average wages by gender. Will the labor shortage help narrow this gap, or will career breaks due to maternity leave keep the gap high? The question is whether the official income gap will widen in the annual report.
ConditionsYes: if, in an official analytical report or press release from Rosstat issued by December 31, 2026, the gender pay gap in the Russian Federation exceeds last year’s figure (based on previous periods, the gap was approximately 27–28%). No: if official statistics show that the gender pay gap has narrowed or remained at the same level.
Timeline
OpenedJul 5, 2026, 7:41 AM
Closes
Aug 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 10, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 5, 2026, 7:41 AM
Closes
Aug 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 10, 2027, 8:59 PM
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ConicMalraux29 BPCX
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Active
Will Rosstat publish a report on the widening gender pay gap in Russia by the end of 2026?
Volume~$194
DescriptionA study by the Higher School of Economics (HSE) has clearly highlighted the existence of a “motherhood penalty,” which widens the overall gender pay gap in Russia. Against the backdrop of a severe labor shortage in the second half of 2026, the Ministry of Labor and Rosstat are compiling detailed annual statistics on average wages by gender. Will the labor shortage help narrow this gap, or will career breaks due to maternity leave keep the gap high? The question is whether the official income gap will widen in the annual report.
ConditionsYes: if, in an official analytical report or press release from Rosstat issued by December 31, 2026, the gender pay gap in the Russian Federation exceeds last year’s figure (based on previous periods, the gap was approximately 27–28%). No: if official statistics show that the gender pay gap has narrowed or remained at the same level.