Awaiting summarization
Will there be another attempt on Trump's life before the end of 2026?
Volume~$120
YES chance
DescriptionThe year 2026 was unprecedented in terms of the number of incidents involving Donald Trump: a shooting at the Correspondents’ Dinner in April, an armed intrusion at Mar-a-Lago in February, and constant threats from Iran over the war in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Secret Service is requesting an additional $1 billion to strengthen security measures, including armored venues for public appearances. With the November congressional elections approaching and Trump’s plans to attend the World Cup this summer, the risk of new assassination attempts remains extremely high. The question is whether at least one more attempt on the president’s life will be officially recorded and confirmed by the authorities (the FBI or the Secret Service) before the end of the year.
ConditionsYes: if, between May 10 and December 31, 2026, at least one new assassination attempt against Donald Trump is officially recorded and confirmed by U.S. law enforcement agencies (such as the arrest of a suspect with a weapon while attempting an attack, shots fired at the president, etc.). No: if no new, officially confirmed assassination attempts on Donald Trump occur by the end of 2026.
Timeline
OpenedMay 9, 2026, 1:01 PM
Closes
Jun 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 6, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 9, 2026, 1:01 PM
Closes
Jun 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 6, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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User
Vol.
1
wEEd
wEEd24 BPCX
2
buba
buba14 BPCX
3
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur8 BPCX
4
LargoDewey
LargoDewey8 BPCX
5
joS_edge
joS_edge7 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
111
11116 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore14 BPCX
3
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt11 BPCX
4
BlitheWits
BlitheWits8 BPCX
5
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis5 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will there be another attempt on Trump's life before the end of 2026?
Volume~$120
DescriptionThe year 2026 was unprecedented in terms of the number of incidents involving Donald Trump: a shooting at the Correspondents’ Dinner in April, an armed intrusion at Mar-a-Lago in February, and constant threats from Iran over the war in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Secret Service is requesting an additional $1 billion to strengthen security measures, including armored venues for public appearances. With the November congressional elections approaching and Trump’s plans to attend the World Cup this summer, the risk of new assassination attempts remains extremely high. The question is whether at least one more attempt on the president’s life will be officially recorded and confirmed by the authorities (the FBI or the Secret Service) before the end of the year.
ConditionsYes: if, between May 10 and December 31, 2026, at least one new assassination attempt against Donald Trump is officially recorded and confirmed by U.S. law enforcement agencies (such as the arrest of a suspect with a weapon while attempting an attack, shots fired at the president, etc.). No: if no new, officially confirmed assassination attempts on Donald Trump occur by the end of 2026.
Event results
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