Awaiting summarization
Will the U.S. Navy officially confirm the use of "kamikaze dolphins"?
Volume~$94
YES chance
DescriptionIn early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegset used the classic phrasing “neither confirm nor deny” in response to a question about kamikaze dolphins. Against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the launch of Operation “Project Freedom” to escort merchant ships, the question of using asymmetric weapons (including marine mammals) has become extremely relevant. Will the Pentagon or Navy leadership issue an official confirmation of the existence of such a program (specifically involving attack dolphins, not just search-and-rescue ones) by the end of the summer?
ConditionsYes: if, by August 31, 2026 (inclusive), an official spokesperson for the Pentagon, the U.S. Navy, or the White House publicly confirms the existence of a program within the U.S. Armed Forces that uses dolphins to carry out direct attacks on enemy ships or personnel (including their use as mine carriers for self-destruction).No: if, by the end of August 2026, the official U.S. position remains ambiguous (“neither confirm nor deny”) or if only information regarding the search-and-rescue and security functions of marine mammals is released.
Timeline
OpenedMay 7, 2026, 8:50 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 7, 2026, 8:50 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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wEEd
wEEd29 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge25 BPCX
3
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis12 BPCX
Voted for NO
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1
FirmGang
FirmGang18 BPCX
2
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt9 BPCX
3
SuperNancy
SuperNancy1 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will the U.S. Navy officially confirm the use of "kamikaze dolphins"?
Volume~$94
DescriptionIn early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegset used the classic phrasing “neither confirm nor deny” in response to a question about kamikaze dolphins. Against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the launch of Operation “Project Freedom” to escort merchant ships, the question of using asymmetric weapons (including marine mammals) has become extremely relevant. Will the Pentagon or Navy leadership issue an official confirmation of the existence of such a program (specifically involving attack dolphins, not just search-and-rescue ones) by the end of the summer?
ConditionsYes: if, by August 31, 2026 (inclusive), an official spokesperson for the Pentagon, the U.S. Navy, or the White House publicly confirms the existence of a program within the U.S. Armed Forces that uses dolphins to carry out direct attacks on enemy ships or personnel (including their use as mine carriers for self-destruction).No: if, by the end of August 2026, the official U.S. position remains ambiguous (“neither confirm nor deny”) or if only information regarding the search-and-rescue and security functions of marine mammals is released.
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