Awaiting summarization
Will the Central Bank's official dollar exchange rate fall below ₽68 by the end of May?
Volume~$66
YES chance
DescriptionThe Russian currency is rallying sharply, hitting its lowest level since February 2023. The main drivers are market imbalances (currency supply from exporters exceeds demand from importers), high oil prices, and the Central Bank’s high key rate of 14.5%. Investment strategists do not rule out that the ruble will continue to put pressure on its rival on May 28, when tax payments peak. The focus is on whether the Central Bank’s official exchange rate will break through the ₽68 mark in the final week of the month.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from May 25 to May 31, 2026 (inclusive), the Bank of Russia sets the official U.S. dollar exchange rate at exactly less than ₽68.00 at least once. No: if, during the specified period, the Central Bank’s official exchange rate remains at ₽68.00 or higher at all times.
Timeline
OpenedMay 19, 2026, 9:35 PM
Closes
May 24, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 19, 2026, 9:35 PM
Closes
May 24, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock22 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI111 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt23 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge10 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will the Central Bank's official dollar exchange rate fall below ₽68 by the end of May?
Volume~$66
DescriptionThe Russian currency is rallying sharply, hitting its lowest level since February 2023. The main drivers are market imbalances (currency supply from exporters exceeds demand from importers), high oil prices, and the Central Bank’s high key rate of 14.5%. Investment strategists do not rule out that the ruble will continue to put pressure on its rival on May 28, when tax payments peak. The focus is on whether the Central Bank’s official exchange rate will break through the ₽68 mark in the final week of the month.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from May 25 to May 31, 2026 (inclusive), the Bank of Russia sets the official U.S. dollar exchange rate at exactly less than ₽68.00 at least once. No: if, during the specified period, the Central Bank’s official exchange rate remains at ₽68.00 or higher at all times.
Event results
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