Active
Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?
Volume~$171
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe entire industry is watching the internal power struggle within OpenAI’s leadership with bated breath. On the one hand, CEO Sam Altman is actively pushing for an IPO as early as the fourth quarter of 2026, stating his intention to invest up to $600 billion in infrastructure development over the next five years.
On the other hand, his position is facing serious opposition from CFO Sarah Fryar, who insists that the company is objectively not ready for such a move in 2026.
The reasons include the lack of necessary procedures, colossal cash burn (projected losses could exceed $200 billion by 2030), and OpenAI’s unique “capped-profit” structure, which limits investors’ profits and must be completely reorganized for an IPO.
Given the mixed forecasts, tight deadlines, and the need to complete a massive amount of preparatory work, whether OpenAI will be able to go public by 2027 remains the main dilemma of the year.
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on December 31, 2026 (Moscow Standard Time), the OpenAI official website, the company’s press releases, the securities registration statement (Form S-1), and publications by reputable global business media outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal) by 11:59 PM on December 31, 2026 (Moscow Standard Time), there is official confirmation that trading in OpenAI shares has begun on a stock exchange (e.g., the NYSE or Nasdaq).
NO: If OpenAI’s IPO is not officially announced by the end of 2026, or if a postponement to 2027 or later is announced.
Timeline
OpenedApr 6, 2026, 11:51 AM
Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsJan 1, 2027, 2:59 AM
OpenedApr 6, 2026, 11:51 AM
Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsJan 1, 2027, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI119 BPCX
2
111
11119 BPCX
3
ton_explore
ton_explore10 BPCX
4
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux10 BPCX
5
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis6 BPCX
Voted for NO
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User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang29 BPCX
2
buba
buba20 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock20 BPCX
4
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur18 BPCX
5
wEEd
wEEd9 BPCX
Active
Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?
Volume~$171
DescriptionThe entire industry is watching the internal power struggle within OpenAI’s leadership with bated breath. On the one hand, CEO Sam Altman is actively pushing for an IPO as early as the fourth quarter of 2026, stating his intention to invest up to $600 billion in infrastructure development over the next five years.
On the other hand, his position is facing serious opposition from CFO Sarah Fryar, who insists that the company is objectively not ready for such a move in 2026.
The reasons include the lack of necessary procedures, colossal cash burn (projected losses could exceed $200 billion by 2030), and OpenAI’s unique “capped-profit” structure, which limits investors’ profits and must be completely reorganized for an IPO.
Given the mixed forecasts, tight deadlines, and the need to complete a massive amount of preparatory work, whether OpenAI will be able to go public by 2027 remains the main dilemma of the year.
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on December 31, 2026 (Moscow Standard Time), the OpenAI official website, the company’s press releases, the securities registration statement (Form S-1), and publications by reputable global business media outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal) by 11:59 PM on December 31, 2026 (Moscow Standard Time), there is official confirmation that trading in OpenAI shares has begun on a stock exchange (e.g., the NYSE or Nasdaq).
NO: If OpenAI’s IPO is not officially announced by the end of 2026, or if a postponement to 2027 or later is announced.