Awaiting summarization
More Death Sentences for Top Chinese Politicians Before Fall?
Volume~$75
YES chance
DescriptionFollowing the shocking sentencing of two former defense ministers on May 7, 2026, experts from Reuters and CNN predict that the “shock wave” of anti-corruption crackdowns will continue. As of May 2026, more than 50% of the PLA’s top leadership has been implicated in investigations. By September 2026, military courts may conclude the trials of other high-ranking officials (ministers, members of the Central Military Commission, and heads of state-owned corporations). The focus is on whether at least one more death sentence (including a suspended sentence) will be officially announced for an official at the “ministerial level and above” or a high-ranking military officer.
ConditionsYes: if, between May 10 and August 31, 2026, the authorities of the People’s Republic of China officially announce a death sentence (including suspended sentences) against any current or former official holding the rank of minister or deputy minister, or any military officer holding the rank of colonel general.
No: if, by August 31, 2026, no new reports of death sentences against politicians and military officers of this rank are received.
Timeline
OpenedMay 7, 2026, 8:43 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 7, 2026, 8:43 PM
Closes
May 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt17 BPCX
2
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock16 BPCX
3
wEEd
wEEd5 BPCX
4
NastyAeolis
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Voted for NO
#
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1
buba
buba16 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur11 BPCX
3
BTC_BOSS
BTC_BOSS4 BPCX
4
GlossyNahum
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Awaiting summarization
More Death Sentences for Top Chinese Politicians Before Fall?
Volume~$75
DescriptionFollowing the shocking sentencing of two former defense ministers on May 7, 2026, experts from Reuters and CNN predict that the “shock wave” of anti-corruption crackdowns will continue. As of May 2026, more than 50% of the PLA’s top leadership has been implicated in investigations. By September 2026, military courts may conclude the trials of other high-ranking officials (ministers, members of the Central Military Commission, and heads of state-owned corporations). The focus is on whether at least one more death sentence (including a suspended sentence) will be officially announced for an official at the “ministerial level and above” or a high-ranking military officer.
ConditionsYes: if, between May 10 and August 31, 2026, the authorities of the People’s Republic of China officially announce a death sentence (including suspended sentences) against any current or former official holding the rank of minister or deputy minister, or any military officer holding the rank of colonel general.
No: if, by August 31, 2026, no new reports of death sentences against politicians and military officers of this rank are received.
Event results
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