Active
Will the official unemployment rate in Russia hit a new all-time low in June (falling to 2.1% or lower)?
Volume~$50
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe critical labor shortage cited by the Central Bank is keeping unemployment in Russia at record lows—the latest data from Rosstat shows it at 2.2%. On July 31, 2026, the agency will publish its latest monthly report with results for June. Will the labor shortage in the midst of the summer season push the rate down to a new all-time low?
ConditionsYes: if, in Rosstat’s official report for June 2026 (published on July 31, 2026), the unemployment rate in the Russian Federation (population aged 15 and older, according to ILO methodology) is ≤ 2.1%
No: if, in Rosstat’s official report for June, the unemployment rate is recorded at ≥ 2.2%
Timeline
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 11:02 PM
Closes
Jul 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 11:02 PM
Closes
Jul 25, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur19 BPCX
Voted for NO
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ton_explore
ton_explore19 BPCX
2
buba
buba12 BPCX
Active
Will the official unemployment rate in Russia hit a new all-time low in June (falling to 2.1% or lower)?
Volume~$50
DescriptionThe critical labor shortage cited by the Central Bank is keeping unemployment in Russia at record lows—the latest data from Rosstat shows it at 2.2%. On July 31, 2026, the agency will publish its latest monthly report with results for June. Will the labor shortage in the midst of the summer season push the rate down to a new all-time low?
ConditionsYes: if, in Rosstat’s official report for June 2026 (published on July 31, 2026), the unemployment rate in the Russian Federation (population aged 15 and older, according to ILO methodology) is ≤ 2.1%
No: if, in Rosstat’s official report for June, the unemployment rate is recorded at ≥ 2.2%