Awaiting summarization
Will the U.S. House of Representatives begin impeachment proceedings against Trump by June?
Volume~$235
YES chance
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Trump’s threats to launch a devastating strike against Iran, a group of Democrats in the House of Representatives has initiated a debate on the immediate removal of the president from office. The main arguments cited are abuse of power and creating an unjustified risk of nuclear war. Although the Republican majority in Congress is unlikely to support a final vote, the mere fact that an official investigation has begun or that an impeachment resolution has been introduced in the relevant committee could be formalized in the coming weeks. The question is whether the Democrats’ call will move into the official legal arena (the launch of proceedings) before the start of summer.
ConditionsYes: if, on or before May 31, 2026, the U.S. House of Representatives formally initiates impeachment proceedings or an investigation under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution against Donald Trump.No: if, by that date, the Democrats’ calls remain limited to public statements without the initiation of formal proceedings in Congress.
Timeline
OpenedApr 7, 2026, 10:02 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 7, 2026, 10:02 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur84 BPCX
2
111
11117 BPCX
3
wEEd
wEEd16 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux29 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge27 BPCX
3
heySI1
heySI127 BPCX
4
ton_explore
ton_explore19 BPCX
5
FirmGang
FirmGang15 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will the U.S. House of Representatives begin impeachment proceedings against Trump by June?
Volume~$235
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Trump’s threats to launch a devastating strike against Iran, a group of Democrats in the House of Representatives has initiated a debate on the immediate removal of the president from office. The main arguments cited are abuse of power and creating an unjustified risk of nuclear war. Although the Republican majority in Congress is unlikely to support a final vote, the mere fact that an official investigation has begun or that an impeachment resolution has been introduced in the relevant committee could be formalized in the coming weeks. The question is whether the Democrats’ call will move into the official legal arena (the launch of proceedings) before the start of summer.
ConditionsYes: if, on or before May 31, 2026, the U.S. House of Representatives formally initiates impeachment proceedings or an investigation under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution against Donald Trump.No: if, by that date, the Democrats’ calls remain limited to public statements without the initiation of formal proceedings in Congress.
Event results
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