Awaiting summarization
Will a peace treaty be signed based on the “Istanbul Agreements”?
Volume~$83
YES chance
DescriptionIn his remarks on May 9, 2026, Vladimir Putin once again referred to the documents initialed in Istanbul in 2022 as the basis for ending the conflict. He noted that he is ready to resume discussions on these specific agreements. The Ukrainian side had previously insisted on its own “peace formula,” but the current situation on the front lines and pressure from the West could cause Kyiv to change its position. The question is whether a peace treaty will be officially announced by the end of the summer, with a reference to the 2022 Istanbul protocols included in its preamble or text.
ConditionsYes: if a peace treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, based on the principles of the 2022 Istanbul Agreements, is officially signed by August 31, 2026 (inclusive).No: if a peace treaty is not signed by the end of summer 2026, or if it is based on fundamentally different terms.
Timeline
OpenedMay 10, 2026, 8:51 PM
Closes
Jun 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMay 10, 2026, 8:51 PM
Closes
Jun 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
wEEd
wEEd23 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis10 BPCX
3
MMTrader
MMTrader6 BPCX
4
ton_explore
ton_explore2 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge29 BPCX
2
MotileGiro
MotileGiro9 BPCX
3
BlitheWits
BlitheWits3 BPCX
4
FluentTrench
FluentTrench1 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will a peace treaty be signed based on the “Istanbul Agreements”?
Volume~$83
DescriptionIn his remarks on May 9, 2026, Vladimir Putin once again referred to the documents initialed in Istanbul in 2022 as the basis for ending the conflict. He noted that he is ready to resume discussions on these specific agreements. The Ukrainian side had previously insisted on its own “peace formula,” but the current situation on the front lines and pressure from the West could cause Kyiv to change its position. The question is whether a peace treaty will be officially announced by the end of the summer, with a reference to the 2022 Istanbul protocols included in its preamble or text.
ConditionsYes: if a peace treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, based on the principles of the 2022 Istanbul Agreements, is officially signed by August 31, 2026 (inclusive).No: if a peace treaty is not signed by the end of summer 2026, or if it is based on fundamentally different terms.
Event results
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