Awaiting summarization
A Million for Loyalty: Will “Parental Capital” Become a Reality?
Volume~$120
YES chance
DescriptionAt a roundtable discussion in the State Duma on April 16, 2026, a radical initiative to strengthen the institution of the family was proposed. Media executive Ivan Bakurov proposed paying fathers 1 million rubles each if they remain married and do not leave their wives for another woman within a year of their child’s birth. The “one father—one family” concept is intended to encourage male responsibility; however, unlike the maternity capital program, the money would be awarded not simply for the birth itself, but for “standing the test of time.” Despite the idea’s viral popularity, experts point to the lack of mechanisms to monitor “fidelity” and the uncertainty surrounding the sources of funding in the budget. Given that this is currently only an expert’s proposal and not an official bill, investors and sociologists are watching to see whether the initiative will move to the stage of actual consideration by lawmakers in the coming month.
ConditionsYes: if a bill providing for cash payments to fathers for preserving the family or remaining faithful in marriage is officially submitted to the State Duma by May 25, 2026.
No: if, by May 25, 2026, inclusive, the initiative remains in the public discussion stage and is not formalized as an official bill.
Timeline
OpenedApr 17, 2026, 9:08 PM
Closes
May 10, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMay 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 17, 2026, 9:08 PM
Closes
May 10, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMay 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis23 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore21 BPCX
3
heySI1
heySI15 BPCX
4
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur3 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
wEEd
wEEd18 BPCX
2
FirmGang
FirmGang17 BPCX
3
SuperNancy
SuperNancy10 BPCX
4
BlitheWits
BlitheWits9 BPCX
5
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt8 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
A Million for Loyalty: Will “Parental Capital” Become a Reality?
Volume~$120
DescriptionAt a roundtable discussion in the State Duma on April 16, 2026, a radical initiative to strengthen the institution of the family was proposed. Media executive Ivan Bakurov proposed paying fathers 1 million rubles each if they remain married and do not leave their wives for another woman within a year of their child’s birth. The “one father—one family” concept is intended to encourage male responsibility; however, unlike the maternity capital program, the money would be awarded not simply for the birth itself, but for “standing the test of time.” Despite the idea’s viral popularity, experts point to the lack of mechanisms to monitor “fidelity” and the uncertainty surrounding the sources of funding in the budget. Given that this is currently only an expert’s proposal and not an official bill, investors and sociologists are watching to see whether the initiative will move to the stage of actual consideration by lawmakers in the coming month.
ConditionsYes: if a bill providing for cash payments to fathers for preserving the family or remaining faithful in marriage is officially submitted to the State Duma by May 25, 2026.
No: if, by May 25, 2026, inclusive, the initiative remains in the public discussion stage and is not formalized as an official bill.
Event results
No results yet