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Will Belarus's military budget increase by more than 20% in 2026?

Volume~$207
Political
Economics
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe purchase of the expensive “Oreshnik” systems, as well as the replacement of nuclear munitions with the latest models, requires significant financial investment. Lukashenko confirmed that the republic “paid for” these weapons. Against the backdrop of large-scale rearmament and growing geopolitical tensions, a significant adjustment to the country’s defense spending is expected. The forecast examines whether Belarus’s total military budget for 2026 will exceed the 2025 figures by 20% or more.
Conditions"Yes: if the official amount of national defense spending in Belarus's 2026 budget (as amended) is ≥ 20% higher than actual spending in 2025. No: if the annual increase in military spending is < 20% or spending remains at the same level."
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Timeline
OpenedMar 14, 2026, 10:08 PM
Closes
Aug 30, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJan 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 14, 2026, 10:08 PM
Closes
Aug 30, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJan 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
111
111
18 BPCX
2
buba
buba
18 BPCX
3
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur
18 BPCX
4
ton_explore
ton_explore
16 BPCX
5
MMTrader
MMTrader
15 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
wEEd
wEEd
29 BPCX
2
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt
22 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock
21 BPCX
4
BlitheWits
BlitheWits
19 BPCX
5
MotileGiro
MotileGiro
10 BPCX
Choose a sideWill Belarus's military budget increase by more than 20% in 2026?
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Active

Will Belarus's military budget increase by more than 20% in 2026?

Volume~$207
Political
Economics
DescriptionThe purchase of the expensive “Oreshnik” systems, as well as the replacement of nuclear munitions with the latest models, requires significant financial investment. Lukashenko confirmed that the republic “paid for” these weapons. Against the backdrop of large-scale rearmament and growing geopolitical tensions, a significant adjustment to the country’s defense spending is expected. The forecast examines whether Belarus’s total military budget for 2026 will exceed the 2025 figures by 20% or more.
Conditions"Yes: if the official amount of national defense spending in Belarus's 2026 budget (as amended) is ≥ 20% higher than actual spending in 2025. No: if the annual increase in military spending is < 20% or spending remains at the same level."
Verification source